Second order beliefs models of choice under imprecise risk: Nonadditive second order beliefs versus nonlinear second order utility

Second-order false-beliefs, language and logic

Second-Order Expected Utility

We present two axiomatizations of the Second-Order Expected Utility model in the context of the standard models of choice under uncertainty.

Second-Order Risk Constraints

This paper discusses how numerically imprecise information can be modelled and how a risk evaluation process can be elaborated by integrating procedures for numerically imprecise probabilities and utilities. More recently, representations and methods for stating and analysing probabilities and values (utilities) with belief distributions over them (second order representations) have been sugges...

Estimating Second Order Probability Beliefs from Subjective Survival Data

Based on subjective survival probability questions in the Health and Retirement Study (HRS), we use an econometric model to estimate the determinants of individual-level uncertainty about personal longevity. This model is built around the modal response hypothesis (MRH), a mathematical expression of the idea that survey responses of 0%, 50%, or 100% to probability questions indicate a high leve...

Recursive belief manipulation and second-order false-beliefs

The literature on first-order false-belief is extensive, but less is known about the second-order case. The attainment of secondorder false-belief mastery seems to mark a cognitively significant stage, but what is its status? Is it an example of complexity only development, or does it indicate that a more fundamental conceptual change has taken place? In this paper we extend Braüner’s hybrid-lo...